A Hybrid Spatiotemporal Framework with Memory and Diffusion Convolution for Traffic Flow Prediction

作者

  • Xi Chen Chongqing Jianzhu College 作者
  • Jiajia Chen Chongqing Jianzhu College 作者

DOI:

https://doi.org/10.65455/6rkv7629

关键词:

Traffic Flow Prediction, Spatiotemporal Forecasting, Memory-Augmented Transformer, Diffusion Convolution

摘要

Accurate traffic flow prediction is pivotal for intelligent transportation systems, yet it remains inherently challenging due to dynamic spatial correlations and long-range temporal dependencies. While existing forecasting paradigms predominantly rely on static, pre-defined graph structures, they often overlook the direct functional connections between non-adjacent time steps.This paper proposes a novel spatiotemporal forecasting framework, termed Memory-augmented Diffusion Convolutional LSTM network (MDC-LSTM), which integrates a MemBART-inspired memory mechanism, diffusion convolution, regional attention, and LSTM-based temporal modeling. By synthesizing these components with Long Short-Term Memory (LSTM) units, the proposed model effectively captures both localized spatial patterns and deep inter-temporal relationships. Empirical evaluations conducted on the METR-LA benchmark dataset demonstrate that our framework significantly enhances predictive accuracy across multiple metrics, consistently outperforming several state-of-the-art (SOTA) baselines and exhibiting strong robustness in long-term forecasting scenarios.

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已出版

2026-07-20

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The data that support the findings of this study are available from the corresponding author upon reasonable request.